Eye
On The Senate: SD 50
Out Of
The Hills Of Habersham, A New Battle For The Senate
(Editors Note: This is another installment in our
occasional series of stories focusing on contested legislative primary
races. House races are designated by the headline “House Watch.”
Senate races are headlined “Eye On The Senate.” The
election is July 15.)
By Dick Pettys
InsiderAdvantage Georgia
(6/30/08) The din of political warfare once again is echoing out
of the hills of Habersham and bouncing through seven other counties
in the northeast corner of Georgia where the Peach State meets the
Carolinas. But this time it isn’t a Republican incumbent against
a Democratic challenger. It’s a Republican incumbent against
two challengers from within her own party.
Two years ago, Sen. Nancy Schaefer slipped past Democrat (and former
senator) Carol Jackson to win a second term in the upper chamber
but it was something of a squeaker. In fact, Schaefer was the only
Republican incumbent in the Senate that year scoring less than 55
percent of the vote. (She won with 53 percent.)
Some think this year’s race looks even tougher for Schaefer
because of what they see as potentially a self-inflicted political
wound. More on that in a bit. First, a look at the district.
Senate District 50 runs from Rabun Gap at the top of the district
to Lake Hartwell.
Habersham County, which is home to all three candidates in this
year’s race, is the geographic center of the district and
typically accounts for about one-third of the overall vote.
The other seven counties are Towns (home to former Gov. and Sen.
Zell Miller, a Nancy Schafer supporter), Rabun, Stephens, Banks,
Franklin and Hart, plus a bit of east-central White.
This is a very conservative district. In 1992, voters here went
64 percent against the lottery which nonetheless passed statewide
and ultimately funded the HOPE scholarship and pre-k programs. George
W. Bush won the district with 60 percent in 2002 and 74 percent
in 2004.
Preacher and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee won 45 percent
in the district on Super Tuesday, followed by John McCain at 29
percent and Mitt Romney at 21 percent.
Here’s another statistic that also could prove important:
in last year’s congressional runoff race between Paul Broun
and Jim Whitehead for the 10th congressional district seat of the
late Charlie Norwood, Broun carried SD 50 by 61 percent. Since Broun
only won the overall race by less than 1 percent, you can see this
is an area where he’s got some strength.
Yet back in March, Schaefer announced she was planning to forego
re-election to her state Senate seat in order to challenge Broun
for his congressional post.
“Most North Georgians want change right now,” she told
the AJC at the time. “They’d like it to be a North Georgia
seat - not a seat from Augusta.”
A month later, she withdrew, saying her husband was scheduled for
surgery at the end of the month. The press release said: “Nancy
has been aware following several doctor’s visits that to move
forward with an active campaign at this critical time is unthinkable.”
The press release said she would continue to represent the district
until the end of the year.
Then, a few days later, she announced she would run for re-election
to the Senate, after all.
By that time, however, challenger Jim Butterworth, chairman of
the Habersham County Commission and a Delta Air Lines pilot, already
had decided to run for what he thought would be a vacant seat, and
businessman Terry Rogers had decided to run, whether Schaefer was
seeking the job or not.
Butterworth said he went ahead and began planning his campaign
on the assumption Schaefer wouldn’t run, then got a call from
her asking him to get out of the race when she changed her mind.
“I did give her the respect of considering it, but I called
her back within 12 hours and told her I felt I had the support necessary
to go forward and had made too many obligations and spent too much
time and effort (to drop out.)”
Schaefer doesn’t remember it that way.
“That’s not accurate,” she told Insider. “I
would never have asked him to get out and I didn’t. The minute
we made the decision I told him we were going to run. I never asked
him to get out.”
Rogers told Insider he had decided as far back as last October
to make the race, long before he knew what Schaefer’s plans
might be. He’s been active in local politics, too, and served
for a time on the Cornelia city commission and in some of Newt Gingrich’s
congressional campaigns. He runs a plastic recycling business.
Folks in Atlanta and in the district who watch these races closely
(because of their cumulative effect on the balance of power in Atlanta)
think Schaefer hurt herself politically by first announcing she
would challenge a congressman who appeals to the same conservative
Christian base she does, and then flip-flopping on whether she would
seek re-election to the Senate.
“Nancy’s done damage to her base by jumping around,”
said one observer. “When she was going to run for Congress,
some of her supporters got on board with Butterworth. Then she got
back in and they thought that wasn’t the right thing to do.”
Schaefer said she’s not hearing that from many people. “I
ran into four people - actually three - that said they committed
to someone else when they thought I was not going to run. Most people
have called and said they were pleased I was going to run for the
Senate.”
As to the “whys” of that decision, she said she had
initially decided that Congress was a better place for her to work
on issues that are of key concern for her, including protective
services for children. “But Bruce came down with the need
for abdominal surgery and I quickly made that decision not to run.
We thought it would be almost immediately. It took three doctors
before we found out what he needed.”
Now, the surgery is scheduled after the primary, she said, and
the prognosis is good.
Schaefer carries the endorsement of Georgia Right to Life into
the election. She’s labored in the fields with that organization
and affiliated groups for years. She is, in fact, the founder of
a nonprofit called Family Concerns, which served as a springboard
for some of her political activities.
Statewide, her high water mark was in 1994 when she was recruited
by then-GOP Chairman Billy Lovett to run for lieutenant governor
and got 42 percent of the vote against Democratic incumbent Pierre
Howard.
She ran for governor in 1998 and came in third in the Republican
primary with 8 percent of the vote, trailing Guy Millner and Mike
Bowers.
In a conservative state Senate, she is arguably well to the right
of many, and some of her issues clearly transcend the state’s
boundaries. A resolution she passed through the Senate this year
urges Congress to withdraw the U.S. from the Security and Prosperity
Partnership of North America, terming it a direct threat to U.S.
independence. It is SR
827.
In her basic stump speech, she says she tells voters she’s
“not just at the Capitol to make a living but to make a difference”
and talks of the need for economic develop, jobs and tourism in
the district. “I share about having worked hard on the statewide
comprehensive water plan,” she adds. “Everybody up here
is interested in water and how we’re going to maintain an
adequate supply.”
Butterworth agrees that water is a key issue for the district,
and says that his hands-on experience as county commission chairman
gives him the edge.
“Three years ago before we were in the middle of this extreme
drought we began putting a 50-year water plan in place. We were
one of the first counties to do so. We have a road map. Something
a lot of other communities in north Georgia haven’t gotten
to yet. So I’ve been in the trenches working on water plans.
I’ll be knowledgeable working with the statewide water plan,”
he said.
Butterworth flies 767s and 757s for Delta some 10 or 12 days a
month. He served in the U.S. Air Force for 12 years and rounded
out his military career in the Georgia Air National Guard based
at Warner Robins flying B-1s.
He’s a member of Georgia Right to Life and can’t quite
figure out why Schaefer got the organization’s nod. “I
never got a survey, phone call or any other communication from Georgia
Right to Life.”
His wife is a 2nd grade teacher in the Habersham County public
schools.
Rogers touts his business experience.
“We’re all Republicans. We all basically have a conservative
philosophy. I think I bring two things: because of my business,
I can stick my phone in my pocket and be available full time. Also,
I think people are tired of politics as usual. They are looking
for experience. I would like to bring a businesslike approach to
the legislative process.”
There’s been talk on a popular political blog of Rogers’
three marriages.
Rogers said that’s no secret in a community where it would
be hard to keep secrets, anyway. But it is, he says, “politics
as usual. We need to get away from it.”
All three candidates have professional help.
Butterworth’s key campaign advisor is Joel McElhannon, who’s
had a string of Republican success stories over the years, including
Lt. Gov. Casey Cagle.
Schaefer’s consultant is J.B. Coram, who lives just up the
road and across the border in North Carolina.
Rogers is using Tim Baker of the Capitol Strategies Group.
There is some speculation that the race here two years ago flipped
on the weekend before the election, when polls showed Democrat Carol
Jackson with a healthy lead. Then a negative ad aimed at Schaefer
was circulated by someone - Jackson insisted at the time it wasn’t
her. It allowed Schaefer to go on the offensive and she ultimately
won.
So this is a race to watch all the way to the finish, particularly
since the normal money sources - those involved in real estate - are
feeling the economic pinch and it seems to be in short supply.
Previous legislative
primary reports:
House
Watch - HD 15: Key House Chairman Facing Fight?
Eye
On The Senate - SD 46 Athens Incumbent Favored But No One Takes
Race For Granted
House
Watch - HD 9: The Big Boys Clash In The Gold Belt
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